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  THE COMEBACK

  THE COMEBACK

  GARY SHAPIRO

  Copyright © 2011 Gary Shapiro

  Excerpts from “Canada Lawmakers Ratify Free Trade Agreement With Colombia, Send to Senate” by Theophilios Argitis. Used with permission of Bloomberg.com Copyright ©2010. All rights reserved.

  Excerpts from “Colombia: Exports to Reach $40 Billion ’10; Double in 4 Years” by Darcy Crowe. Reprinted by permission of the Wall Street Journal, Copyright © 2010 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved Worldwide. License number 2550840759663.

  Excerpts from “Two L.A. agencies get $111 million in stimulus funds but have created only 55 jobs” by David Zahniser. Los Angeles Times, Copyright ©2010. Reprinted with Permission. All rights reserved.

  FIRST EDITION

  All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any electronic or mechanical means, including information storage and retrieval systems, without permission in writing from the publisher, except by a reviewer who may quote brief passages in a review.

  Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

  Shapiro, Gary.

  The comeback: how innovation will restore the American dream / Gary Shapiro.

  p. cm.

  ISBN 978-0-8253-0563-4 (alk. paper)

  1. Technological innovations—United States. 2. Entrepreneurship—United States. 3. American

  Dream. I. Title.

  HC110.T4S52 2011

  338’.0640973--dc22

  2010047997

  For inquiries about volume orders, please contact:

  Beaufort Books

  27 West 20th Street, Suite 1102

  New York, NY 10011

  [email protected]

  Published in the United States by Beaufort Books

  www.beaufortbooks.com

  Distributed by Midpoint Trade Books

  www.midpointtrade.com

  Printed in the United States of America

  To my wife Susan and to her parents, my grandparents, and every other American (including those no longer alive) who sacrificed so much to come to the United States. You left behind family, you had to learn a new language, you worked hard and sacrificed so much for your children. You have contributed to our economy, you are amazing citizens and huge patriots, and you have made the United States a beautiful and successful mosaic. We can repay our debt to you by ensuring the American Dream stays alive.

  Contents

  Foreword

  Preface

  1 America’s Decline

  2 Why Innovation?

  3 Innovation: The Fuel of Economic Growth

  4 Entrepreneurial Innovation: The Jobs Engine

  5 Innovation Requires Immigration

  6 The U.S. Constitution and the Fire of Genius

  7 All the World’s a Market: Innovation Requires Free Trade

  8 Innovation Requires Good Schools

  9 Innovation Requires Competitive Broadband

  10 Government Spending: Imperiling Innovation and More

  11 Government Spending: Modest Proposals to Restore Sanity

  12 Private Enterprise: Restoring Our Foundation for Growth

  13 Innovation Requires Support of U.S. Companies

  14 Innovation Requires a National Energy Policy

  15 An Innovation Lesson in Health Care

  Conclusion

  Acknowledgments

  Bibliography

  Foreword

  I WAS ONCE asked to provide some advice to a company that at one point had a product that was not only the best in its class, but also technically far ahead of its competition. It created a better way of offering its service, and customers loved it and paid for it.

  Then it made a fatal mistake.

  It asked its customers what features they wanted to see in the product and then delivered on those features. It seemed like good business: Ask your customers what they want, and then give it to them.

  Unfortunately for this company, its competitor didn’t ask its customers what they wanted. Instead, the competitor had a vision of doing things differently. As a result, they did it better. Their customers didn’t really see the value or need for those features until they saw the product. When they tried it, they loved it.

  So what did the company I was working with do when it saw what the competition was doing, despite my admonitions to do otherwise? It repeated its mistake and once again asked its customers what they wanted in the product. Of course the customers responded with features that they now loved from the competitor, while the competitor continued to innovate.

  The paradigm had shifted. Innovation had paved the way. The company I was advising? I made them memorize what Alan Kay once said: “The best way to predict the future is to invent it.”

  Consumers aren’t sages. They aren’t in the business of imagining the next great thing. That’s the job of innovators, who don’t have a choice. To borrow a phrase from my friend, Gary Shapiro, they either “innovate or die.” Those who rely on someone else to tell them what the future holds usually find themselves six feet under before they even realize they’re in the coffin.

  But progress—real progress—is like that. It’s punishing and it’s merciless.

  It’s also absolutely vital for the continued prosperity of the United States. As Shapiro makes abundantly clear in the pages that follow, innovation is America’s economic salvation. It creates wealth, jobs, even entire industries where nothing existed before. And innovation is the key in reversing our decline.

  Like that company I worked with, our government is making a fatal mistake. It believes it is acting like a good business when it treats our economy like a focus group, asking each member of the group what it likes and what it doesn’t like. Taking these answers, it then attempts to fashion our economic policy.

  The results of this “innovation by committee” are plain for all to see: exploding deficits, minimal growth, anemic job creation, and an ever-growing reliance on government aid. Whether under Republican or Democratic administrations or Congresses, the United States has been mired in uncertainty for years.

  This book is about how to reverse this process and restart America’s innovation engine. It’s about how to get American back on track and reassert our preeminence in the world.

  I have had the privilege of knowing Gary Shapiro for many years. He has been at the forefront of protecting America’s innovators since he helped beat back an attempt by the content community to bury the VCR thirty years ago. That was a defining moment for Shapiro, as it would be for the revolution in consumer electronics that followed. It was a fight that showed that the success or failure of innovation has as much to do with the effort to defend it as it does with the usefulness of the product.

  I also worked closely with Shapiro as he helped lead the national transition to digital television. That successful effort disrupted the status quo but changed our nation for the better. Of course, along with thousands of others, I have also been to International CES, where innovation and the future are on display.

  The result of those thirty years Shapiro has spent in the trenches, fighting for innovation, has led to the ideas presented here. This book is a policy guide for our lawmakers to follow if they are serious about fully enabling America’s unique culture of entrepreneurship. He presents a disturbing picture of our current situation, and offers the tough choices we’ll need to make to get ourselves out of it.

  You probably won’t agree with every one of his ideas. Whether you’re a Republican or a Democrat, conservative or liberal, there’s going to be something in this book that will challenge your long-held beliefs. Let it. It’s time we stop focusing on the success of one party or ideology, and start focusing on the success of our country.
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  But this book is more than a policy memo, too. It is a plea from one American to another to remember the American Dream—the Dream that the author has lived, the Dream that I have been fortunate to live. The Dream our ancestors came to this country to live.

  Mark Cuban

  October 2010

  Preface

  MY DEFINING MOMENT occurred In July 2008 at a lavish hotel in Qingdao, China. At a formal banquet I sat next to the head of the province, the top Communist presiding over some 100 million Chinese. With fewer than ten words, he changed me. In a few brief seconds, he planted a seed. This seed I received uneasily. In fact, for a while I just used it as an amusing anecdote. But the seed expanded, changed, and grew into a tree of resolve. This annoying man catalyzed my grief, denial, thought, and action—but never my acceptance.

  I sat next to him as part of the formal opening banquet for the SINOCES, a trade show held each year in the beautiful coastal city of Qingdao. Little did I know, this event had started several years earlier and had borrowed part of the name from the International Consumer Electronics Show (CES). At the Consumer Electronics Association, CES is our pride and joy. It is the world’s largest and most exciting homage to consumer technology innovation. Held each January in Las Vegas, with more than 2,500 companies exhibiting cool new stuff, International CES attracts more than 125,000 leaders from business, media, and government from around the world.

  Based in Arlington, Virginia, the Consumer Electronics Association (CEA) is a nonprofit trade association of some 2,000 American companies who make and sell technology products. I have worked for or at CEA since I was a law student in 1979. Throughout my time here, I have been a part of every innovation, from the VCR and the PC to the CD to the Internet. By producing our CES trade show and guiding our government policy to foster and encourage innovation, I have had a front row seat in witnessing a technology innovation revolution. I have been privileged to see innovations that have changed the world, created millions of new jobs, and transformed how we receive information, entertainment, and education.

  It has not always been easy. Technology innovation has also changed other industries, and not in pleasant ways. Innovation breeds progress, but it also destroys. Ask a typewriter mechanic if he has a lot of clients these days. We have fought many fights, but for the most part, we won the battles that would have restricted progress, and the world is now better. I am extremely proud that we have improved the world through innovative technology.

  I anticipate each year’s International CES like a kid entering a toy store. Nothing is more exciting than the new innovations and technologies and seeing how each of 2,500 companies position themselves to buyers, the media, investors, and the important executives. So as the CEO of the organization owning the CES name, I knew we had to act when we learned the CES name was being used in China with “SINOCES” without our permission.

  SINOCES was created in 2001 by the electronics trade association in China and the city of Qingdao (famous for the Tsingdao beer). I knew a lawsuit in China was impractical, so we cut a deal. As both the city of Qingdao and our Chinese sister association shared our desire to create a big technology event for Asia, we negotiated a partnership through which we licensed our name, received a cut of the revenue, and helped with marketing, programs, speakers, and attendees. We also brought an American delegation, of which I was a member. It was a nice relationship—at least until 2008, when the economy softened.

  Before the fall, the Chinese would do anything for us—even at the expense of their citizens. For example, in 2005, my wife Susan and I arrived in Beijing late, missing our connecting flight to Qingdao. The next few flights to Qingdao were full, so we told our partners we would not arrive until the next day. They said to stay put in the Beijing Airport. Within ten minutes, an official found us and whisked us to the Qingdao-bound plane waiting to take off on the tarmac. Two Chinese citizens had “voluntarily” given up their seats to accommodate us. Indeed, the Chinese did everything possible to give us an amazing experience, including police escorts and many celebratory meals.

  Of course this graciousness is the result of a government that is a bit less democratic than ours. I knew those two Chinese passengers would not have given up their seats if we were in America. And for this reason I accepted the Chinese government’s hospitality with a grain of salt.

  But in 2008, things changed. For one, in April, Susan and I had a baby. Our healthy baby, Mark, was a delightful surprise, especially thrilling my wife’s parents. My wife was an only child, and her immigrant parents by then were not expecting any grandchildren. I had two adult children from a prior marriage, but this miracle child later in life challenged me to think about the future—in particular, I wondered what kind of future he would have, knowing I probably would not be around for most of his life.

  In 2008, the American economy also spiraled downward as the reality of the sub-prime mortgage debacle unfolded. It not only began a series of events affecting millions of Americans and Wall Street, but, as I learned, it also affected the Chinese and how they viewed the United States.

  At the July 2008 event, from the moment I arrived in Qingdao, I was responding to questions about the American economy from our hosts and the Chinese press. At each protocol meeting, I was pressed by the Chinese on the issue of American sub-prime mortgages. They made it clear how unhappy they were with Americans, and they blamed our sub-prime mortgage problems on their reduced growth and sales. Clearly, they had ambitious growth goals, and jobs were on the line.

  We had “protocol” meetings where I would sit in a big white chair next to an important Chinese government official or company executive. We would be separated by a coffee table with a huge bouquet of fragrant flowers, and behind us would sit two interpreters, one for each of us. Lined up in chairs by status and seniority on each side were our respective delegations, who had to feign interest as we talked in the time-consuming process of sequential English-to-Chinese and Chinese-to-English translations. Each meeting would begin with the sipping of the hot tea served by hostesses selected for the honor based on beauty and English proficiency. After the niceties, I would introduce our delegation, which included several American business executives interested in selling to or buying from the Chinese.

  The final protocol meeting of the day was with a top Communist government leader. Although he was speaking Chinese, when I heard “sub-prime mortgage” I knew where he was heading. As protocol dictates, I listened intently. Despite my outward head-shaking and focus, inwardly I was constructing a different answer than I had been giving earlier. Previously I had responded to the sub-prime mortgage issue by saying that the American economy is the strongest in the world, that this is a minor blip and we will get through this and emerge stronger. I also insisted that the important thing is that trade between our two nations be bilateral. I raised issues of U.S. concern, including unbalanced trade, the environment, working conditions, piracy of intellectual property, restrictions on American exports to China, and the value of the Chinese currency.

  But I decided to try a different approach in this final meeting. I told the Chinese government official I had good news. I turned to the American delegation and said that I understood his concerns about sub-prime mortgages. I then informed him that not one American in our delegation had a sub-prime mortgage. You could tell by their heartfelt laughter which Chinese official understood English. That deflected the situation immediately, at least for the couple of hours before the opening banquet and my transformational interaction with the senior Communist Chinese official.

  The banquet began with speeches and toasts, and I was seated next to the head of the entire province. This Communist official seemed particularly grumpy and, in an earlier protocol meeting, had berated me for the U.S. sub-prime problems. As he was the top Chinese official and I was the top American, we were seated in the center of the VIP table with interpreters seated behind us. The speeches had ended, the entertainers had not yet taken the stage, and a moment fo
r conversation had begun. And that’s when it happened.

  He turned to me and pointed his thumb up in the air. “China going up,” he said in English. I nodded.

  He then turned his thumb down and moved his hand toward the floor. “U.S. going down,” he declared.

  I was stunned. I did not immediately respond. I felt my blood boiling. In fact, I wanted to punch him.

  I pulled my chair back, excused myself, and walked over to one of my board members, Henry Chiarelli, a wonderful Italian American and former Radio Shack executive. Henry calmed me down, and we shared some choice words about this repugnant idiot.

  Every day since then, I have thought about that brief exchange. For a while, I chided myself for not having some immediate comeback. I could have responded by putting my thumb on the floor and showing China’s rise one inch and then standing on my chair and showing the United States going down one inch. Or I could have simply slugged him and suffered the consequences.

  But a couple of weeks later in Chicago at a CEA meeting, Henry was kind enough to describe my actions to his board colleagues as diplomacy under fire. That recognition—that I should not be angry at myself or even care what some coarse Communist official said— transformed my views. My anger over this Chinese insult transformed into a horrible conclusion. It is not that China was going up—that is a fact. Good for them.

  Rather, it is the corollary fact: America is going down. The truth can hurt.

  This appears so harsh in print. It is unfashionable to acknowledge and, some would argue, unpatriotic to declare the decline of one’s country. Politicians don’t get elected and business leaders don’t succeed and books don’t sell by declaring that America is faltering. Such a statement defies our culture of optimism and the sense of greatness that defines America.